In New York in September, a newly fashioned consortium of US-based power corporations unveiled a $10bn plan to scale-up using liquified petroleum gasoline – higher generally known as LPG – throughout 10 international locations in Africa.
The launch of the USLPG Consortium, which plans to put money into import terminals, storage services and LPG cylinders, is the most recent signal that LPG is gaining traction as an answer to Africa’s power clear cooking drawback. Since taking workplace earlier this 12 months, Chris Wright, the US power secretary, has been vocal in supporting the scaling-up of LPG in Africa.
Not coincidentally, the US is the world’s largest gasoline exporter and American corporations are in line to reap appreciable rewards if adoption of LPG can improve.
The Worldwide Power Company (IEA) highlights that round one billion folks in Africa nonetheless cook dinner utilizing firewood, charcoal or animal waste, usually spending hours every day looking for fuels. It estimates that foraging for firewood ends in the lack of 1.3m hectares of forest annually.
A high-profile clear cooking summit that the IEA convened in Paris final 12 months led to $2.2bn in funding commitments for options. Since then, the IEA says 40 new insurance policies to advertise clear cooking have been launched across the continent.
Amid these glimpses of progress, it’s clear that LPG is taking part in a key function. The IEA experiences that three-quarters of those that have gained entry to scrub cooking in Africa over the previous 5 years have executed so on account of LPG, which is seen by some as a “transitional gasoline”. Whereas cleaner than some alternate options, LPG is a fossil gasoline, and produces greater greenhouse gasoline emissions than an electrical range that’s powered by renewable power.
Well being impacts
The shortage of entry to scrub cooking in Africa has a dramatic impact on human well being. The IEA states that family air air pollution contributes to 815,000 untimely deaths annually in Africa.
Daniel Pope, professor of world public well being and epidemiology on the College of Liverpool, says the demise toll primarily stems from cardiovascular and respiratory situations that outcome from power publicity to particulate matter, generally known as PM2.5.
Pope explains there’s a “very steep improve in danger at fairly low ranges of publicity” to PM2.5. Girls and women are most in danger in Africa, since they overwhelmingly bear the burden of cooking.
Within the seek for options, Pope stresses that LPG releases little or no PM2.5 in comparison with burning biomass. “The discount in danger is large”, he says. “Switching to LPG is a really health-positive factor.”
Because of the steep improve in well being dangers as soon as folks begin doing even a comparatively small quantity of cooking utilizing unsafe fuels, Pope emphasises the significance of constructing a whole change to LPG or different safer strategies. One concern, nevertheless, is that among the extra generally used LPG stoves might be too small to cook dinner massive meals. In Kenya, for instance, small stoves that use 6 kg cylinders are fashionable, but Pope warns that individuals will usually proceed to cook dinner bigger meals utilizing conventional strategies.
He’s due to this fact in favour of governments selling double-burner stoves that use standard 13 kg cylinders. The continent, he says, must make a clear break from unsafe fuels.
Subsidides required
A number of international locations in Africa stand out for making progress with LPG.
Renzo Bee, a former govt at Whole who now works as a advisor advising the private and non-private sector on LPG, highlights Côte d’Ivoire for instance that different African international locations ought to look to study from. The West African nation has seen entry to LPG rising from round 50% of the inhabitants 5 years in the past, to round 85% in the present day.
Bee says there are a number of causes for this success. Firstly, the federal government accepted the non-public sector’s choice for a mannequin through which gasoline cylinders stay owned by the marketer, versus people proudly owning and refilling their very own cylinders. Secondly, the federal government agreed to subsidise LPG and hold costs steady.
“It’s apparent that individuals wish to have stability within the worth,” he says, including that regulating the worth whereas the market remains to be creating is “key” to making sure demand takes-off.
The worth of a 6kg gasoline bottle has remained capped at CFA2,000 (round $3.55) for a number of years. This quantities to an efficient subsidy of round 50% though the precise extent of the subsidy is dependent upon fluctuating worldwide costs. The World Financial institution gave a professional endorsement of Côte d’Ivoire’s subsidy coverage in a 2022 report, noting that no nation has achieved a common electrification fee with out some type of subsidy, and that the identical will apply to scrub cooking.
Nonetheless, as soon as LPG use turns into rather more widespread, Bee argues that worth controls can ultimately be lifted.
“Folks will handle to deal with the brand new worth,” he says. “They won’t return to charcoal, as a result of they know the comfort of utilizing LPG.”
The necessity to present subsidies, even when utilized on a focused foundation, is troublesome for a lot of governments to afford.
However James Rockall, CEO of the World Liquid Fuel Affiliation, argues {that a} “steady coverage atmosphere” is important to incentivise funding in LPG infrastructure, given the capital expenditure required.
He highlights how Brazil and India have each achieved “fast and big uptake” of LPG, with almost 100% entry to the gasoline, by way of providing a sound regulatory atmosphere. Each international locations have additionally offered subsidies, he notes, though they’ve executed so utilizing totally different fashions. Brazil’s subsidies have been focused on the poorest, whereas India has provided broad subsidies to all LPG customers.
Infrastructure enhancements required
Rockall notes that affordability just isn’t essentially at all times the most important barrier for LPG in Africa.
“The issue is commonly the dearth of provide,” he says. Funding in infrastructure is required to import LPG and distribute it to shoppers.
The provision chain for LPG requires port services that may deal with specialised carriers and supply massive, pressurised tanks the place the product might be saved. Relying on the dimensions of the market, secondary storage services may additionally be wanted close to distribution centres. The LPG then must be transferred into cylinders at bottling crops. Lastly, the cylinders have to be distributed to stores the place they’re purchased – and returned – by shoppers.
As Africa seeks to emulate these international locations in selling LPG, there are a lot of indicators that funding is gathering tempo. A number of international locations, together with Kenya and Tanzania, are constructing large-scale portside storage services. And various international locations are actually adopting the ‘cylinder recirculation mannequin’.
This strategy “is necessary as a result of it places the burden of security on the cylinder provider, somewhat than the patron,” says Peter George, funding director at Spark+, an affect funding agency that funds clear cooking options. “From an financial standpoint, you’re capable of be extra environment friendly. You’ll be able to produce higher margins, additionally lower the price for the patron with this cylinder recirculation mannequin.”
Spark+ lately invested in Henos Power, an LPG advertising firm that has been licensed by the Ghanaian authorities to produce customers with cylinders at stores. As soon as the patron has completed a cylinder, they carry the empty bottle again to the outlet, the place they will change it for a brand new one.
George says that Spark+ invests in a spread of fresh cooking options, together with electrical stoves and stoves that burn pellets, in addition to LPG.
Even when LPG just isn’t good as a local weather answer, proponents say it’s higher than the established order. A examine by the Stockholm Setting Establishment in 2023 discovered that switching to LPG throughout the International South by 2040 would have an equal affect to eradicating half a billion vehicles from the world’s roads.
And George factors out that the important thing benefit of LPG is that it’s “readily scalable” – as proven by the growing tempo of adoption in a number of African international locations.
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