by Calculated Danger on 6/25/2025 03:56:00 PM
From J.D. Energy: June New-Automobile Gross sales Subdued After Reverse of Tariff-Pushed Rush to Showrooms; Retail Gross sales Rise 7.5% in First Half of 2025 Transient excerpt:
The seasonally adjusted annualized price (SAAR) for complete new-vehicle gross sales is anticipated to be 15.0 million models, up 0.2 million models from June 2024.
emphasis added
From Haig Stoddard at Omdia: US Mild-Automobile Gross sales Gradual Once more in June (pay content material). Transient excerpt:
A lot of June’s anticipated 12-month-low within the seasonally adjusted annualized price is an offset from pre-tariff pull-ahead quantity in March and April. But additionally dampening demand is worsening affordability and leaner stock. Moreover, a dent within the year-ago month’s gross sales attributable to a cyberattack impacting sellers’ on-line programs is making year-over-year comparisons look stronger than they might have in any other case.
Click on on graph for bigger picture.
This graph exhibits precise gross sales from the BEA (Blue), and J.D. Energy’s forecast for June (Crimson).
On a seasonally adjusted annual price foundation, the J.D. Energy forecast of 15.0 million SAAR could be down 4.1% from final month, and up barely from a yr in the past.
Automobile consumers rushed to purchase in March and April to beat the tariffs. As Stoddard famous, the year-over-year comparability is simple as a result of cyberattack suppressing gross sales final June.
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